Monday, July 25, 2011

Mariners vs Yankees Preview


The Yankees returned to Yankee stadium for a 10 game homestand this past weekend and took 2 out of 3 from the Oakland A’s.  Friday’s game was the biggest offensive blowout we have seen from the Yankees since coming to the new stadium.  The next two games were a bit tougher but the Yanks managed to grab another win on Sunday, following Saturday’s loss.  Since the All-Star break the Yankees are 6-5 and looking to grab some more wins during this homestand against the Mariners and Baltimore this weekend.
The struggling Mariners come to the stadium looking to snap a 15 game losing streak, following a sweep up in Fenway park this past weekend.  The last time these teams met was in May out in Seattle when the Mariners took 2 of 3 from the Yanks.  Although the Mariners started Hernandez and Pineda in that series, the Yankees were able to take the lead against both these pitchers early but ultimately blew both games because of the Yankee bullpen and AJ Burnett.  The Yankees are now looking to pay the Mariners back for those two very frustrating losses.
PITCHING MATCHUPS
Monday:  Jason Vargas (6-8, 3.94 ERA) vs Freddy Garcia (8-7, 3.21 ERA)
-Garcia is coming off a good start against the Rays last week pitching nearly 7 innings of shutout ball.  He seemed to get himself into trouble a few times during the game but managed to pitch his way out of trouble every time.  Garcia had 7 strikeouts and no walks in his 8th win of the season.  This win against the Rays was of a different fashion than usual for Garcia as he typically allows balls to be put in play by the batter, ultimately allowing the defense to take care of business.  This game was different as Garcia was more dominant with 66 of 92 pitches thrown for strikes, 7 strikeouts, and 13 swings and misses which typically isn’t Freddy’s style.  I would expect another strong performance against the Mariners by Garcia as their offense is the worst in the AL.
-Garcia is 1-1 over his last 3 starts with a 2.89 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
-Garcia has allowed 2 runs or less in four of his last 5 starts
-Since June 12, Garcia is 4-2, with a 2.38 ERA over 7 starts
-Vargas is coming off a poor start against the Jays and was pulled after only 3 innings.  In those 3 innings, he allowed 5 runs, 6 hits and 5 walks.  It was his shortest outing since May.
-Vargas has lost his last two starts against the Yanks, allowing 13 runs over 9 innings
-Vargas is 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA over his last three starts with 9 strikeouts, and has allowed 10 runs over his last two starts.
-Cano is hitting .700 against Vargas
-Swisher is hitting .375 against Vargas
Tuesday:  Doug Fister (3-11, 3.30 ERA) vs CC Sabathia (14-5, 2.62 ERA)
-Sabathia is coming off a tough loss against Tampa last week which snapped his 7 game winning streak.  Even though CC took the loss, he still had a commanding performance allowing only 2 runs over 8 innings.
-Sabathia is 11-2 since May 19 with a 2.12 ERA & over his last three starts he is 2-1 with 1.08 ERA and 25 strikeouts.
-Fister has not gotten a win since May despite some quality starts & took the loss in his last start facing the Blue Jays, allowing 4 runs on 5 hits. He had a smooth start to the game, retiring his first 10 batters but couldn’t hold the lead.
-Fister is 0-2 over his last 3 starts with a 5.03 ERA and 7 strikeouts.
Wednesday: Felix Hernandez (8-9, 3.47 ERA) vs Phil Hughes (1-2, 9.47 ERA)
-Hughes had a poor start this past Friday who couldn’t help maintain the lead the Yankees had given him in the 3rd.  Hughes didn’t make it out again for the 4th inning and had to be replaced by Noesi who had a strong performance in long relief.  Hughes’ velocity was down again (91mph) compared to his previous start (93 mph –ish) and didn’t have control over his fastball.  He wasn’t throwing his new curveball with the command that he had in his previous start and overall looked bad.  In all fairness, it was 103 degrees at game time and just unbearable inside that stadium but Hector Noesi had no problems throwing 4 solid innings!
-Hernandez was owned this past Friday up in Fenway allowing 6 runs on 11 hits with 4 walks over 6 2/3 innings.  He was constantly in trouble with men on bases and relied upon double plays to get himself out of it, but overall was just beat up by the Red Sox offense.
-King Felix has given up at least four runs in 3 of his last 5 starts.
-Hernandez is 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 14 strikeouts over his last three starts

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